Goldman cuts US growth outlook on war, sees 25% recession risk

R4U
Rojgar4u Team March 12, 2026
1
Goldman cuts US growth outlook on war, sees 25% recession risk
Goldman Sachs cut its US growth outlook and warned of 25% recession risk over the next 12 months due to Iran war. The firm cited oil price spikes from the Strait of Hormuz closure as a primary economic risk. Goldman raised its inflation forecast to 2.9%, expecting higher unemployment. The conflict has driven crude prices back above $100 per barrel.
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